Overview
What happened in Apr–Sep 2026, and what's coming.
Section 1 of 7The plant at a glance: orders, what didn't ship, stock-outs and how accurate the forecast is.
Next: StockoutsOrders Apr–Sep 2026
$5.61M
Unshipped
$378K
Forecast error
14 in 100
Orders are up on last year
This counts what was ORDERED, shipped or not: that's real demand. Sales hide it in stockout months.
Cutting discs explain most of the growth
Since November, two hardware chains have carried the discs in their catalog, and home building pushed up demand.
Stockouts hit every time the season picks up
The plant makes what it sold the month before. When the season picks up, the month before was lower; and in a month with a stockout, what sold is less than what was ordered, so the next month it makes even less than it needs.
With the forecast, half the lost orders, with the same inventory
Planning at 80%: make what covers demand eight months out of ten. Build the October plan
Unshipped orders in Apr–Sep 2026: $378K; the worst month was August (12.2%).
Next section · Section 2 of 7
Stockouts
Every product with its traffic light, what's on the shelf and what its stock-outs cost.